Tupi vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
TUP
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
BRA
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
TUP
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
LON
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUP
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 0
CRI
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CRI
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
4 - 0
OES
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |