Tupi vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAX
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUP
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 2
TUP
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |