Tupi vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
TUP
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
TUP
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
MAD
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 1
POR
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
LON
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 2
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |