Tuna Luso vs Independente AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
3 - 2
TUN
8%
14%
79%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +20 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
TUN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 2
PAY
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
IAC
1 - 0
TAP
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
IAC
3 - 1
REM
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
REM
2 - 0
IAC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 3
IAC
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 2
IAC
19%
21%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |