FC Tulsa vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
OKC
0 - 0
TUL
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 2
TUL
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 3
LOU
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 3
SPK
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BLE
2 - 1
TUL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SPK
2 - 4
LOU
16%
22%
63%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 3
IND
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 3
LOU
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 0
BLE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 0
MEM
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |