Tuggen vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MEN
0 - 0
TUG
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TUG
0 - 2
ESC
56%
21%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCW
0 - 3
TUG
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TUG
3 - 3
LIN
48%
22%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TUG
4 - 1
FCG
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 0
WIN
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HON
0 - 2
FCT
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 3
STG
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 1
FCT
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
KOS
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |