Tuen Mun FC vs Lucky Mile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
WAN
3 - 2
TUE
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 5
TUE
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HON
4 - 1
TUE
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TUE
3 - 4
WIN
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TUE
1 - 5
TCS
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOU
6 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 4
BIU
15%
19%
65%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 3
HVA
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 3
WIN
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 1
LUC
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |