Tucanes FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 2
TUC
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
CFC
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
TUC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 0
LLA
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
TUC
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
DEP
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ZUL
3 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |