TSW Pegasus FC vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PFC
0 - 0
KFC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PFC
2 - 1
CAA
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
PFC
3 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PFC
3 - 1
WTP
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
SHS
2 - 3
PFC
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WTP
1 - 1
HON
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 0
HON
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SKF
0 - 8
HON
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HON
2 - 1
FUK
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUT
0 - 4
HON
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |