TSV Sasel vs Tus Osdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
23
15º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
SAS
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OTT
4 - 1
SAS
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 2
CUR
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
THA
1 - 0
SAS
18%
20%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 0
HEB
83%
10%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tus Osdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
OSD
2 - 1
WIL
32%
21%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
OSD
2 - 2
UTO
48%
21%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
OSD
3 - 4
ALT
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 3
OSD
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
OSD
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |