TSV Sasel vs HEBC Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
47
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
SAS
27%
21%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RUG
3 - 1
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
VHG
73%
15%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
0 - 1
SAS
17%
19%
63%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
EIM
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 1
WIL
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
HAM
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 1
HEB
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 2
ALT
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 2
HEB
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |