Oberliga Bayern North Round 2

TSV Abtswind vs 1.FC Geesdorf analysis

TSV Abtswind 1.FC Geesdorf
25 ELO 26
4.1% Tilt -0.4%
5449º General ELO ranking 41251º
270º Country ELO ranking 1805º
ELO win probability
43.1%
TSV Abtswind
21.6%
Draw
35.3%
1.FC Geesdorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.FC Geesdorf
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

TSV Abtswind
Their league position
1.FC Geesdorf
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
13º
12
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Abtswind
1.FC Geesdorf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

TSV Abtswind
1.FC Geesdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2022
KOR
TSV Kornburg
0 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
64%
19%
17%
24 30 6 0
25 Jun. 2022
SCH
Schweinfurt
5 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
86%
10%
4%
24 45 21 0
21 May. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 3
Ammerthal
AMM
60%
20%
21%
25 21 4 -1
14 May. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
71%
17%
12%
23 34 11 +2
10 May. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
33%
23%
43%
22 27 5 +1

Matches

1.FC Geesdorf
1.FC Geesdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
1 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
73%
15%
12%
26 20 6 0
14 Nov. 2021
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
1 - 2
SV Friesen
SVF
74%
14%
11%
27 19 8 -1
06 Nov. 2021
FCC
FC Coburg
0 - 3
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
25%
21%
54%
26 19 7 +1
30 Oct. 2021
MEM
Memmelsdorf
2 - 3
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
36%
22%
42%
25 22 3 +1
24 Oct. 2021
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
3 - 0
TSV Gochsheim
TSV
84%
10%
6%
25 15 10 0