Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 2
SGF
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
HOF
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HOF
0 - 1
RBL
30%
23%
48%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LEV
4 - 1
HOF
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
HOF
4 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
STU
1 - 0
SCF
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SCF
4 - 1
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
S04
0 - 2
SCF
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SCF
2 - 0
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SCF
2 - 2
MON
21%
23%
57%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |