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Bundesliga. Matchday 34

Hoffenheim Hertha BSC
77 ELO 72
21% Tilt 14%
103º General ELO ranking 166º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Hoffenheim
21.2%
Draw
19.2%
Hertha BSC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
Hoffenheim
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.2%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hoffenheim
+20%
+5%
Hertha BSC

Basic stats

61
39
POS
21
9
SOT
4
3
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
7
10
FRK
77
72
ELO
2
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Hoffenheim
Their league position
Hertha BSC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
14º
11º
35
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
78
78
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
64
64
100%
Wolfsburg
61
61
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
60
60
100%
B. Leverkusen
52
52
100%
Union Berlin
50
50
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
49
49
100%
Stuttgart
45
45
50%
SC Freiburg
10º
45
45
10º
50%
Hoffenheim
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Mainz 05
12º
39
39
12º
100%
FC Augsburg
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Hertha BSC
14º
35
35
14º
50%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
35
35
15º
50%
Köln
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Werder Bremen
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Schalke 04
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hoffenheim
Hertha BSC
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hertha BSC
HER
Hoffenheim
HOF
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
BFC Dynamo
BFC
Hertha BSC II
HER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
35%
27%
38%
2278 1566 -712 -5
08 May. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
56%
24%
20%
2266 1973 293 +12
24 Apr. 2021
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
40%
28%
32%
2267 1918 -349 -2
21 Apr. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 2
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
44%
27%
29%
2255 2501 -246 +12
16 Apr. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Hoffenheim
HOF
61%
22%
18%
2249 2882 633 +6

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO HER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
Köln
KOL
51%
26%
23%
2037 1945 92 -2
12 May. 2021
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 2
Hertha BSC
HER
47%
27%
26%
2024 1961 -63 +12
09 May. 2021
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
57%
23%
20%
2029 1561 468 -5
06 May. 2021
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
51%
26%
23%
2012 1920 92 +17
03 May. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
47%
27%
26%
2011 1953 -58 0