Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 1
HOF
22%
21%
57%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 2
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
STU
2 - 0
HOF
23%
22%
55%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 1
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 1
HOF
22%
22%
57%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
S04
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
SCF
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |