Hoffenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
S04
4 - 0
HOF
20%
21%
58%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HOF
1 - 3
SCF
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 2
SGF
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
HOF
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HOF
0 - 1
RBL
30%
23%
48%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
S04
0 - 1
ARB
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 1
AUG
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SCF
2 - 0
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |