Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUG
0 - 4
HOF
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 3
HOF
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 1
REI
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 2
SGF
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
HOF
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
KUO
0 - 4
FCU
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 1
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 1
FCU
9%
16%
75%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
ATH
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 0
NIC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |