Hoffenheim vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 1
HOF
13%
18%
69%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2020 |
HOF
0 - 3
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
S04
1 - 1
HOF
33%
24%
44%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HOF
0 - 6
BYM
9%
13%
78%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
HOF
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
F95
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
M05
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
KOL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 2
KOL
28%
22%
50%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 0
S04
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |