Bundesliga . Jor. 28

Hoffenheim vs Köln analysis

Hoffenheim Köln
84 ELO 81
5.9% Tilt 16.6%
137º General ELO ranking 206º
12º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Hoffenheim
23.1%
Draw
20.7%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Hoffenheim
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Win probability
Köln
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hoffenheim
-6%
-5%
Köln

ELO progression

Hoffenheim
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2016
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Hoffenheim
HOF
34%
26%
40%
82 79 3 0
12 Mar. 2016
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
27%
24%
49%
82 87 5 0
05 Mar. 2016
STU
Stuttgart
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
37%
25%
38%
83 82 1 -1
02 Mar. 2016
HOF
Hoffenheim
2 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
51%
24%
25%
83 82 1 0
28 Feb. 2016
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
70%
18%
12%
84 91 7 -1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2016
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 2
Köln
KOL
12%
20%
68%
81 55 26 0
19 Mar. 2016
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
9%
19%
72%
79 92 13 +2
12 Mar. 2016
HAN
Hannover 96
0 - 2
Köln
KOL
44%
26%
30%
79 79 0 0
05 Mar. 2016
KOL
Köln
1 - 3
Schalke 04
S04
27%
26%
47%
80 85 5 -1
01 Mar. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
42%
27%
32%
81 79 2 -1
X