FA Trophy . 1/64
Global 4-3
Truro City vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
WHI
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 0
TON
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 3
WEL
39%
25%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 4
WOK
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
8 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
WHI
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 2
GLO
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 4
GLO
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 0
TOW
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 3
HAL
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |