Truro City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BID
0 - 0
WHI
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 0
COR
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HEM
3 - 0
WHI
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 0
RED
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
7 - 1
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
POO
14%
21%
65%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BED
0 - 1
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 0
BAS
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |