Truro City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BED
1 - 1
WHI
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
EVE
3 - 4
WHI
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WHI
0 - 3
CHE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
BRA
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TIV
1 - 2
WHI
19%
22%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
DID
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 2
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LEA
2 - 1
BAS
47%
23%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NUN
5 - 2
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |