Trujillo vs Alburquerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
TRU
0 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
56%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAL
3 - 2
TRU
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AMA
4 - 1
TRU
23%
24%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TRU
0 - 3
ARR
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADV
3 - 0
TRU
15%
19%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alburquerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CPA
4 - 1
CDC
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAS
3 - 1
CPA
16%
20%
65%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CPA
2 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SNV
3 - 1
CPA
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CPA
0 - 1
MOR
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |