Trujillanos vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 1
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
TRU
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 1
LAR
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TRU
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 1
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
APC
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZUL
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |