Troyes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LHA
2 - 0
TRO
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 2
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 2
SOC
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 3
TRO
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
REI
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 3
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |