Troyes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 1
TRO
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
MET
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
TOU
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 1
TRO
63%
24%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 0
LEN
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
USB
2 - 1
NAN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NAN
3 - 1
IST
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LHA
1 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 0
CLE
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |