Troyes vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 3
TRO
20%
26%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
ROD
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 1
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASN
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 2
GRE
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
PAU
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |