Tropezón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRO
27%
24%
48%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 1
RAY
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
TRO
21%
24%
56%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEZ
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SEL
20%
24%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAY
11%
22%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |