Tropezón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
TRO
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
3 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 1
TRO
20%
24%
57%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAY
22%
27%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CUL
4 - 2
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
SIE
61%
23%
17%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAS
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
GAM
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |