Tromso II vs Nesodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
KVI
1 - 1
TRO
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MJO
1 - 2
TRO
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
OST
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
MOI
3 - 0
TRO
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
FRI
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
OST
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOI
0 - 2
NES
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NES
2 - 1
FRI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
4 - 4
NES
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NES
3 - 2
ASK
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |