Tromsdalen vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
2º
22
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 55 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 41 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 24 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 23 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ALT
3 - 2
TRO
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 2
ULL
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
STB
1 - 1
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 0
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STR
1 - 0
TRO
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KJE
5 - 4
HON
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
4 - 0
HON
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HON
4 - 2
RFK
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |