Trofense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
7º
7º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TRO
16%
26%
58%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
TRO
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
TRO
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
ALH
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
LUS
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
VAR
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |