Tritones Vallarta vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
LCU
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
2 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |