Tritium vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
JUS
2 - 1
TRI
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SON
1 - 1
TRI
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 0
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USP
2 - 0
TRI
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
PRO
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
LUC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 3
LIS
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
NOV
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |