Tristán Suárez vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STM
2 - 2
SUA
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SUA
0 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
SUA
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
SUA
2 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 0
SUA
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
VSC
3 - 2
COM
58%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
VSC
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
VSC
1 - 2
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
COL
0 - 1
VSC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BRO
1 - 2
VSC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |