Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
SUA
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GOD
2 - 0
SUA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 1
AGR
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 1
SAC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
AGR
26%
30%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAC
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 2
FER
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |