Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
UAI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
SUA
59%
24%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SUA
0 - 3
ARM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
SUA
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEF
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
DEF
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |