Tristán Suárez vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
SUA
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
SUA
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
INS
3 - 0
SUA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 2
AGR
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
SAC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 2
RAF
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RAF
0 - 1
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |