Trindade vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
APA
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
APA
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 4
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 2
CRA
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |