Treze vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TRE
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
NAU
4 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
FER
2 - 1
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
TRE
0 - 4
CRZ
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
TRE
1 - 4
NAU
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
FER
0 - 3
CRZ
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
FER
2 - 1
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
FER
0 - 2
VAS
13%
22%
66%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |