Trento vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
66.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
TRE
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 2
REN
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRE
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 0
LEO
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
PAD
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
11%
22%
67%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
PAD
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
70%
22%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |