Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 2-4
Trenčín vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DAC
2 - 3
TRE
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
TPD
0 - 9
TRE
2%
7%
90%
|
77 | 14 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 1
POD
67%
18%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 0
TRE
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ZMO
3 - 0
TRE
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
4 - 0
AWM
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 4
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
3 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
RAP
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
RAP
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |