Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
FEL
2 - 3
TRE
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MSA
3 - 6
TRE
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 3
WAC
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GMD
2 - 6
TRE
38%
23%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 2
SPI
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
FLC
4 - 3
MSA
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WAC
2 - 1
FLC
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FLC
4 - 2
GMD
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 5
FLC
18%
20%
63%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
FLC
3 - 0
SVD
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |