Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BLE
1 - 2
TRE
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 2
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 2
RUD
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 2
TRE
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
KMD
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 0
WEL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KMD
0 - 1
FLC
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FLC
2 - 1
RAP
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WOL
2 - 2
FLC
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLC
4 - 1
STE
68%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |