Treaty United vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.9%
2.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+485%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
6º
10
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
WAT
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
TRE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 0
TRE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 2
LON
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 1
TRE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 4
GAL
10%
19%
70%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 0
KEF
85%
11%
4%
|
6 | 67 | 61 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
FIN
5%
14%
81%
|
5 | 51 | 46 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
KEF
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
3%
8%
90%
|
6 | 47 | 41 | 0 |