Treaty United vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
6º
44
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 1
TRE
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHR
7 - 1
TRE
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAO
3 - 0
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 3
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 4
WAT
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 3
BRW
8%
13%
80%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
BRW
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STP
6 - 0
BRW
85%
11%
3%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 1
BRW
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SHR
4 - 0
BRW
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |