Travnik vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZEL
3 - 0
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 2
ZVI
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TRA
1 - 0
OSA
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
RUD
1 - 1
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 0
ZVI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OSA
1 - 0
LEO
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 0
RUD
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 1
BBL
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 1
LEO
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |