Trapani vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 0
PES
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PIS
3 - 2
TRA
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
BEN
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAV
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SIC
2 - 2
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
USV
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAS
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |