Cup . Last 16

Narva Trans vs Tartu Welco analysis

Narva Trans Tartu Welco
54 ELO 41
2.9% Tilt 7%
2820º General ELO ranking 2638º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
71.5%
Narva Trans
17.1%
Draw
11.4%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
Narva Trans
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Narva Trans
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Narva Trans
Narva Trans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
2 - 1
Narva Trans
TRA
35%
25%
40%
55 50 5 0
02 Oct. 2021
PAI
Paide
4 - 0
Narva Trans
TRA
80%
13%
7%
56 72 16 -1
26 Sep. 2021
TRA
Narva Trans
2 - 2
Kuressaare
KUR
55%
23%
22%
56 50 6 0
22 Sep. 2021
FLO
FC Flora
5 - 2
Narva Trans
TRA
81%
14%
5%
56 77 21 0
18 Sep. 2021
LEV
Levadia
3 - 0
Narva Trans
TRA
83%
13%
5%
57 77 20 -1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2021
PAI
Paide II
4 - 0
Tartu Welco
WEL
80%
13%
8%
41 55 14 0
17 Oct. 2021
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 3
Nõmme United
NOM
15%
17%
67%
42 50 8 -1
03 Oct. 2021
WEL
Tartu Welco
3 - 2
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
38%
24%
38%
41 43 2 +1
29 Sep. 2021
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 4
Nõmme United
NOM
16%
17%
67%
42 50 8 -1
25 Sep. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
5 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
79%
13%
8%
42 54 12 0
X