Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 1-7
Narva Trans vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
KUR
0 - 2
TRA
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 3
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 7
TRA
13%
21%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 1
TAM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
PAI
0 - 1
TRA
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SIL
2 - 0
RAB
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RAB
7 - 0
BRE
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
SHK
2 - 1
RAB
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RAB
1 - 1
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
REN
2 - 2
RAB
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |